As numerous fans in the UK concentrate on club season-opening performances or debate forthcoming autumn internationals, the battle for 2027 Rugby World Cup qualifying continues at full pace.
Chile earned their back-to-back appearance at the competition with a sensational playoff victory over Samoa last month, leaving one place left up for grabs for the host nation by 2027. Meanwhile, the Paraguayan side stunned Brazil by twenty points in the opening match of their playoff.
The return match is scheduled on Saturday in the Brazilian city, close to São Paulo, while Brazil's squad aims to follow their women's achievement and secure qualification for the first time.
Regardless of Paraguay manages a surprise aggregate victory, or Brazil bounces back after head coach their coach's recent dismissal, the participants for next month's Dubai qualification tournament will be confirmed. The Namibian team, Belgium, and the Samoan side have already secured their places for the Dubai-based competition from 8-18 November.
Several additional nations have also earned their spots. The Hong Kong China team achieved first-time qualification following defeating Korea 70-22 in the summer, and Zimbabwe will return to rugby union's premier tournament for the first occasion since 1991 by virtue of claiming victory in the African championship.
The consequence of Chile's playoff success means that Los Condores will play against Italy for the first time next month during the autumn internationals, replacing Samoa who must participate in the Dubai tournament.
World Rugby's chief executive called Chile an "exciting and fast-emerging power" in announcing the upcoming match in the Italian city. While domestic rugby markets seek larger crowds, rugby in Chile is thriving. A sell-out audience of over 20,000 witnessed the playoff victory in Viña del Mar, and head coach Pablo Lemoine has led the squad on an improving path since his appointment in 2018.
The 50-year-old former Uruguay international prop has been making an impact for decades: recruited by Bristol in the 1990s, he memorably broke through the English defensive line to score at the 2003 global tournament.
His influence as national coach has been similarly significant: Chile have climbed to seventeenth place, their best position. During the previous World Cup in Europe, they were beaten four times, allowing 215 points and scoring 27, including a heavy defeat to the English team.
Nevertheless, they proudly took the positive aspects, and following the 2027 draw in Australia on 3 December, Lemoine can start preparations seriously. They faced Scotland previously, defeated by a significant margin in front of 24,000 fans, and although they were defeated across two legs by Uruguay in the first 2027 playoff, they managed a 21-18 win on the road in Montevideo.
The Samoan team, in contrast, have participated in all World Cup since 1991, but are currently sitting in sixteenth place in the global rankings. They were winless in the recent Pacific Nations Cup, leading to playoff misery versus Chile, and the requirement to meet nations such as Belgium adds additional difficulty for the rugby-loving country.
Apart from specific teams' fortunes, it is worth noting how changed the larger competition will look in the next edition. For the first time, there will be a round of 16 with six groups of four teams instead of four groups of five. Group phase jeopardy is much lower because the top four third-place sides will also qualify.
The organizers, Australia, are now placed seventh in the global rankings, meaning they would fall short on a top seed and could face one of South Africa, the All Blacks, the Irish, France, England, or the Pumas in their group. They may rise into the top six during a packed autumn schedule, however: England, Italy, Ireland, and France are their opponents, with a game against Japan in the capital also scheduled for 25 October.
The Welsh team, meanwhile, are balanced in 12th, with the Japanese side behind, and the implications of dropping to 13th and into the third seeding group are potentially severe.
Another fresh aspect for the next World Cup is the presence of five teams from the Americas: Argentina, Uruguay, USA, the Canadian team, and the Chilean squad – with Paraguay or Brazil possibly making it six. From the governing body's viewpoint, engagement from the Americas is beneficial, especially with the 2031 World Cup set to be hosted by the USA, and the host selection for the 2035 edition was initiated last month.
For now, however. The return match of Brazil versus Paraguay prepares a four-team qualifying contest, along with a possible rankings shake-up across the European nations in the coming month. Regardless of the outcome, Chile's successful qualification for a second Rugby World Cup has already established them as a clear success story.
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